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I have lost my 5th Warzone game in a row. Every game, I rank within the top 3, dragging all the baddies along. Now you calculate those odds, and here is where it really pisses me off:
1 loss: 1 in 2 chance (win or lose)
2 loss: 1 in 4 chance
3 loss: 1 in 8 chance
4 loss: 1 in 16 chance
5 loss: 1 in 32 chance
Let those figures sink in. This game is beyond a terrible joke. Every game is somehow stacked on one side. How many games do you play where everything is stacked on one team compared to how often do you actually have close games? And somehow that stack is always against me, it makes no sense but luckily I have proof.
What proof you might ask: http://halotracker.com/h5/games/warwolf%20189?page=0&mode=warzone
Unfortunately a simple win or lose isn’t even displayed. The games where I’m ranked towards the bottom I left once it became evident who the winner was going to be with no chance of a come back, no reason I should be wasting my time on these half wits. I don’t quit often, but when you lose this much because of your team I have no incentive to stay.
Now the -Yoinked!- up part…this happens daily. Out of the 5-6 Warzone games I play every day, I only win 1 one or two on a good day. Some moron is going to comment ‘well maybe you should play with a group’. Tried, doesn’t work help the chances unless you have a full 12 man, 1 on point player can make a different, so if you have 4 on your team that are half wits, chances of a loss go up considerably.
Some ever bigger moron is going to comment: ‘Well maybe you should find good players to player with’. My response is why cheese a casual game mode, that’s what ranked slayer is for. Those idiots who team up and play Warzone with 12 and core rush every game are nothing but gutter scum who like to get what little satisfaction they can out of life by stacking the odds in their favor in a video game
Win/ lose should be 50/50 each game, but if you lose 5 times in a row then that means the chance of winning is around 3% (divide 100 by 32). That’s providing you win the 6th…
> 2533274800819344;1:
> I have lost my 5th Warzone game in a row. Every game, I rank within the top 3, dragging all the baddies along. Now you calculate those odds, and here is where it really pisses me off:
>
> 1 loss: 1 in 2 chance (win or lose)
> 2 loss: 1 in 4 chance
> 3 loss: 1 in 8 chance
> 4 loss: 1 in 16 chance
> 5 loss: 1 in 32 chance
>
> Let those figures sink in. This game is beyond a terrible joke. Every game is somehow stacked on one side. How many games do you play where everything is stacked on one team compared to how often do you actually have close games? And somehow that stack is always against me, it makes no sense but luckily I have proof.
>
> What proof you might ask:
>
> http://halotracker.com/h5/games/warwolf%20189?page=0&mode=warzone
>
> Unfortunately a simple win or lose isn’t even displayed. The games where I’m ranked towards the bottom I left once it became evident who the winner was going to be with no chance of a come back, no reason I should be wasting my time on these half wits. I don’t quit often, but when you lose this much because of your team I have no incentive to stay.
>
> Now the -Yoinked!- up part…this happens daily. Out of the 5-6 Warzone games I play every day, I only win 1 one or two on a good day. Some moron is going to comment ‘well maybe you should play with a group’. Tried, doesn’t work help the chances unless you have a full 12 man, 1 on point player can make a different, so if you have 4 on your team that are half wits, chances of a loss go up considerably.
>
> Some ever bigger moron is going to comment: ‘Well maybe you should find good players to player with’. My response is why cheese a casual game mode, that’s what ranked slayer is for. Those idiots who team up and play Warzone with 12 and core rush every game are nothing but gutter scum who like to get what little satisfaction they can out of life by stacking the odds in their favor in a video game
>
> Win/ lose should be 50/50 each game, but if you lose 5 times in a row then that means the chance of winning is around 3% (divide 100 by 32). That’s providing you win the 6th…
Let me guess, any of us “idiots” who do this, should stop playing with our team of twelve and go into Warzone half asleep and run around in circles so you can win some?
Also, learn statistics, losing many times in a row will not increase or decrease your chances of winning. It’s always 50/50 when you enter a match, team skill and REQ usage are what increase and decrease your chances of winning. Oh how I cringed when I watched Orange is the new Black and those taking care of the laundry talked about how your chances at winning at the lottery increase every week if you didn’t win last week.
But hey, tell us your honor rules in playing warzone so we can play according to them. /s
> 2533274800819344;1:
> I have lost my 5th Warzone game in a row. Every game, I rank within the top 3, dragging all the baddies along. Now you calculate those odds, and here is where it really pisses me off:
>
> 1 loss: 1 in 2 chance (win or lose)
> 2 loss: 1 in 4 chance
> 3 loss: 1 in 8 chance
> 4 loss: 1 in 16 chance
> 5 loss: 1 in 32 chance
>
> Let those figures sink in. This game is beyond a terrible joke. Every game is somehow stacked on one side. How many games do you play where everything is stacked on one team compared to how often do you actually have close games? And somehow that stack is always against me, it makes no sense but luckily I have proof.
>
> What proof you might ask:
>
> http://halotracker.com/h5/games/warwolf%20189?page=0&mode=warzone
>
> Unfortunately a simple win or lose isn’t even displayed. The games where I’m ranked towards the bottom I left once it became evident who the winner was going to be with no chance of a come back, no reason I should be wasting my time on these half wits. I don’t quit often, but when you lose this much because of your team I have no incentive to stay.
>
> Now the -Yoinked!- up part…this happens daily. Out of the 5-6 Warzone games I play every day, I only win 1 one or two on a good day. Some moron is going to comment ‘well maybe you should play with a group’. Tried, doesn’t work help the chances unless you have a full 12 man, 1 on point player can make a different, so if you have 4 on your team that are half wits, chances of a loss go up considerably.
>
> Some ever bigger moron is going to comment: ‘Well maybe you should find good players to player with’. My response is why cheese a casual game mode, that’s what ranked slayer is for. Those idiots who team up and play Warzone with 12 and core rush every game are nothing but gutter scum who like to get what little satisfaction they can out of life by stacking the odds in their favor in a video game
>
> Win/ lose should be 50/50 each game, but if you lose 5 times in a row then that means the chance of winning is around 3% (divide 100 by 32). That’s providing you win the 6th…
What you’re describing is called the gamblers fallacy in statistics. You see, these games are separate occurances. You can’t group them statistically. If you flip a coin once, there’s a 50/50 chance of the head coming up. If you flip it 49 times, the 50th time will still have a 50/50 chance of being a head. Sorry bud. You’re point makes sense, but your numbers don’t.
Actually he is right. The chances of having so many lost games in a row is really small. You have a 50% to lose the first game, then anoyher 50% of that 50% to lose both the first and second game in a row (aka 25%) etc. It’s called statistics, a form of math.
> 2535436507442501;9:
> > 2533274800819344;1:
> > I have lost my 5th Warzone game in a row. Every game, I rank within the top 3, dragging all the baddies along. Now you calculate those odds, and here is where it really pisses me off:
> >
> > 1 loss: 1 in 2 chance (win or lose)
> > 2 loss: 1 in 4 chance
> > 3 loss: 1 in 8 chance
> > 4 loss: 1 in 16 chance
> > 5 loss: 1 in 32 chance
> >
> > Let those figures sink in. This game is beyond a terrible joke. Every game is somehow stacked on one side. How many games do you play where everything is stacked on one team compared to how often do you actually have close games? And somehow that stack is always against me, it makes no sense but luckily I have proof.
> >
> > What proof you might ask:
> >
> > http://halotracker.com/h5/games/warwolf%20189?page=0&mode=warzone
> >
> > Unfortunately a simple win or lose isn’t even displayed. The games where I’m ranked towards the bottom I left once it became evident who the winner was going to be with no chance of a come back, no reason I should be wasting my time on these half wits. I don’t quit often, but when you lose this much because of your team I have no incentive to stay.
> >
> > Now the -Yoinked!- up part…this happens daily. Out of the 5-6 Warzone games I play every day, I only win 1 one or two on a good day. Some moron is going to comment ‘well maybe you should play with a group’. Tried, doesn’t work help the chances unless you have a full 12 man, 1 on point player can make a different, so if you have 4 on your team that are half wits, chances of a loss go up considerably.
> >
> > Some ever bigger moron is going to comment: ‘Well maybe you should find good players to player with’. My response is why cheese a casual game mode, that’s what ranked slayer is for. Those idiots who team up and play Warzone with 12 and core rush every game are nothing but gutter scum who like to get what little satisfaction they can out of life by stacking the odds in their favor in a video game
> >
> > Win/ lose should be 50/50 each game, but if you lose 5 times in a row then that means the chance of winning is around 3% (divide 100 by 32). That’s providing you win the 6th…
>
>
> What you’re describing is called the gamblers fallacy in statistics. You see, these games are separate occurances. You can’t group them statistically. If you flip a coin once, there’s a 50/50 chance of the head coming up. If you flip it 49 times, the 50th time will still have a 50/50 chance of being a head. Sorry bud. You’re point makes sense, but your numbers don’t.
>
> Also, winning isn’t everything. Just have fun!
Ya his numbers don’t make sense at anything but no matter what you do or how fun it is it is always a little disappointing to lose over and over again. But that is why they have reqs usually if you use them every game you have fun.
> 2533274891802271;11:
> Actually he is right. The chances of having so many lost games in a row is really small. You have a 50% to lose the first game, then anoyher 50% of that 50% to lose both the first and second game in a row (aka 25%) etc. It’s called statistics, a form of math.
He is saying that with every consecutive loss, his chance of winning the next game diminishes. That is incorrect. He is applying the wrong stats model to this scenario.
I’ve lost up to 6 games of warzone in one session in a row. I took a break from Halo for about a day and came back fresh and won 5 in a row and tied one (that was a BTB game)
I want to win because you get more REQ points but either way I don’t really care that much about it in the long run. W/L ratios aren’t important in reality but I understand how it can affect your opinion of the game and the people who play it, you lose alot and you start to resent the game as a whole.
Hahaha I bet the OP believe in the roulette wheel tracker that tells you which numbers can up last and that some how effects the next number
Sorry you are having bad luck with teams but hey it happens. I have had the same lately every time I have played a “win” req for a prize my lousy team will lose… even had an ultra rare one and of course I got put on the no thumb team. It happens. Has nothing to do with the game itself. Lousy teams is why I mainly just stick to FFA now.
> 2533274891802271;11:
> Actually he is right. The chances of having so many lost games in a row is really small. You have a 50% to lose the first game, then anoyher 50% of that 50% to lose both the first and second game in a row (aka 25%) etc. It’s called statistics, a form of math.
That would be true of the preceding game had any effect on the next game. Since each game gets new players, new maps and new ai they do not predict or influence the chances in the next game. It’s a strange topic to get around.
Calm down. Last match I played on Noxus was a campfest and I had to play sneaky and slow AF because my team was spawn trapped. That being said, it’s not a terrible mode. You just have to go with the flow of your team and hope that they pull their weight. There are 12 players so maybe you should realize things are out of your control. The last thing Warzone needs is stronger SBMM and worse connection. I care about the function of the game over the function of my teammates. It’s fine to complain about teammates. That’s a legitimate complaint, but don’t act as if it’s not a problem in every other multiplayer mode in every other shooter. For me, I am a highly skilled player in most FPS. As a solo player since BO2, teammates are often the reason I die or lose my streak.
> 2535436507442501;9:
> What you’re describing is called the gamblers fallacy in statistics. You see, these games are separate occurances. You can’t group them statistically. If you flip a coin once, there’s a 50/50 chance of the head coming up. If you flip it 49 times, the 50th time will still have a 50/50 chance of being a head. Sorry bud. You’re point makes sense, but your numbers don’t.
> Also, winning isn’t everything. Just have fun!
What? He’s talking about losing 5 times in a row. Yes, this can be very much expressed that way. It’s a Bernoulli experiment that is calculated using a Binomial distribution.
> 2533274801176260;19:
> > 2535436507442501;9:
> > What you’re describing is called the gamblers fallacy in statistics. You see, these games are separate occurances. You can’t group them statistically. If you flip a coin once, there’s a 50/50 chance of the head coming up. If you flip it 49 times, the 50th time will still have a 50/50 chance of being a head. Sorry bud. You’re point makes sense, but your numbers don’t.
> >
> > Also, winning isn’t everything. Just have fun!
>
>
> What? He’s talking about losing 5 times in a row. Yes, this can be very much expressed that way. It’s a Bernoulli experiment that is calculated using a Binomial distribution.
>
> P(k,n,p) = n!/(k!(n-k)!) * p^k * (1-p)^(n-k)
>
> In this case:
>
> P(5,5,0.5) = 120/(1201) * 0.5^5 * 1^5 = 1 * 1/32 * 1 = 1/32
Your math is wrong. There’s too many variables and not enough data. I think the coin flip analogy makes more sense because there is far more luck involved when you consider the many variables involved. Since Warzone is a lot about REQs…it’s about choice. All those REQ choices players make during the game add so many variables to combat scenarios.
