UNSC > Banished and I doubt that the next patch will change that. While Banished has a pretty strong late game, the problem lies in getting there, because UNSC dominates the early and mid game. Let me explain.
This has mostly to do with marines imo. They are strong throughout all stages of the game.
Marines + spartan opener is insane. Spartan slam + grenades make short work of upgraded scouts and suicide grunts are irrelevant if the UNSC player knows how to micro. This is especially worse with Cutter.
In the mid game, we have the borderline broken CT marines. Yea, they’ll get a dps nerf in the next patch but it’s problematic that their hp remains untouched. CT marines with gales are extremely tanky and very hard to stop as Banished because they effectively kill their counters. Plus, they are easy to spam.
Rangers, which are supposed to hard counter infantry, die way too fast, are expensive and don’t do much damage.
Sure, Rangers will receive a dps buff, but the buff is minimal and probably won’t change much, given how fragile and squishy they are.
The fact that not even marauders can really handle CT marines pop for pop speaks for itself. The only real counter against UNSC infantry balls is marauders + rangers, which is too much of an investment only to counter core infantry.
Next thing is: snipers are getting buffed against heroes. Banished heroes are already pretty weak early game (with the exception of Arbiter). A further buff to snipers vs heroes will make them completely useless in T1, while Banished don’t have access to rangers before T2. This creates a heavy imbalance between UNSC and Banished because it limits the latter’s options for the early game.
Another problem is turtling. Siege turrets and kodiaks make ground forces irrelevant, especially on certain maps with certain leaders. No banished leader is able to turtle that effectively. Pavium is getting nerfed and Atriox has been nerfed to the ground. Cloaking and shield gens are receiving nerfs as well.
Siege turrets will get a slight damage reduction, but Serina and Anders remain untouched. This concerns me tbh. Anyone who ever played them on Sentry knows what I mean.
Let me say that I’m glad that the devs are approaching things carefully without 300% buffing stuff. But personally, I think more drastic changes are needed to help the Banished and bring them more in line with UNSC. I see no reason to play Banished anymore tbh, and this is definitely not how the meta should be.
Please note that these are just my observations. I haven’t done any in depth testing and I don’t claim to be 100% accurate. Also, I’m only talking about 1v1 here.
Edited like 10 times because I accidently submitted this post too early…