And if you try to, you get downvoted or mocked for doing so.
That theory?
The Age of the Arena Shooter is over, and nothing 343 could’ve done would change that .
Infinite saw huge launch numbers because it was immensely hyped and promoted by Microsoft and looked really good - there is no doubt in that. But it’s an Arena shooter - a relic of a bygone era; it’s not hip. It’s not “cool” and trendy anymore.
It’s not providing the kind of gameplay and moments the 2021/2022 gamer is looking for en masse. You’ll note that pretty much EVERY Arena-styled shooter in the past decade, no matter how well-made or polished has launched and immediately flopped straight into the dirt shortly after. The much vaunted Splitgate experienced this, as did DOOM 2016 with it’s own mulitplayer (to the point where DOOM 2016’s PvP is/was considered a complete waste of space and development effort despite being perfectly functional and even fun). For two examples.
One need look no further than the Top 10 for most months on consoles AND PCs - every month, month after month, Fortnite, APEX and Warzone dominate (usually followed by GTA V or a Valve/Riot game, then some new singleplayer game etc. Last month it was Elden Ring, for obvious reasons) - typically by a large margin. As much as I loathe Dr. Disrespect, he wasn’t wrong - the gamer of the modern era doesn’t care about the kind of gameplay that Arena Shooters like Halo provide anymore. They want the constant stories and rush from Battle Royales or the super-easy and constant dopamine hits from Call of Duty/Siege style shooters, not the effort, sweat and often times punishment that comes with a game like Halo .
343 could’ve launched Infinite with 14+ PvP maps, your perfect idea of a progression system and 20+ gametypes and I’d bet you cold, hard USD right now you’d still be seeing drop-offs of 70% or more in the player population of Infinite (since that seems to be the only metric people care to measure).
From where we’re sitting, sure it might look like a 24k run of bad decisions by 343 - but the truth is the game was lost from the start.