Halo: Infinite will not release on the 15th.
Note: The following text has been copy and pasted from my forum posts regarding this topic. They can be found here.
The reason I would suspect November 16th over 15th as the 15th is a Monday. And every Mainline Halo game, with the only exception being Halo: Combat Evolved 2001, released on a Tuesday.
- Halo: Combat Evolved released Thursday, November 15th, 2001 - Halo 2 released Tuesday, November 9th, 2004 - Halo 3 released Tuesday, September 25th, 2007 - Halo: Combat Evolved Anniversary released Tuesday, November 15th, 2011 - Halo 4 released Tuesday, November 6th, 2012 - Halo 2 Anniversary and the MCC released on Tuesday, November 11, 2014 - Halo 5: Guardians released Tuesday, October 27th, 2015The games all released on a Tuesday and Halo: Infinite should be no exception. I think the 15th is not likely.
I will be shocked to see Halo release on any day BUT a Tuesday. I can see it releasing on the 15th. But I wouldn’t bet on it. At least not until later on when more info starts presenting itself. My predictions follow past trends, commonalities in the industry, and a tiny bit of common sense. If I went and checked every Halo, including the side games,
- Halo Wars released on a Thursday - ODST released on a Tuesday - Reach released on a Tuesday - Spartan Assault released on a Thursday - Spartan Strike released on a Thursday - Halo Wars 2 released on a Tuesday - Fireteam Raven released on a Tuesday
Every single Halo game ever released was released on a Tuesday or Thursday. Never a Monday. I will eat my words if Halo releases on the 15th. It goes against every release to date. I don’t see it. I know it would be awesome. But I don’t believe it.
If we were to read the Tweet as it is, she could technically be talking about ANY of the Halo games’ anniversary. I know it most likely refers to Halo: Combat Evolved, but it can refer to any of them. It also could reference Bungie’s 30th anniversary. This will be May 2021. It says nothing too specific and it is very vague.
Here are my predictions:
September has 3 possible dates.
- September 14th - September 21st - September 28thThe likeliest of these is September 14th.
October has 3 possible dates.
- October 12th - October 19th - October 26thThe likeliest of these is October 19th.
November has 4 possible dates.
- November 9th - November 15th - November 16th - November 23rdThe likeliest of these is November 16th.
Another thing to point out is it said “Fall 2021 release.” Not a “Holiday 2021 release.” We can assume this means before November 2021.
Note: The rest of this thread post will be new material not found in the thread linked above
There is very little reason other than it’s Halo’s 20th Anniversary that Infinite will release on the 15th of November. There are plenty of other reasons to believe it should launch much earlier than that.
Let’s say Bonnie Ross is teasing an Anniversary release. But remove Halo: Combat Evolved having its 20th anniversary and say it is a normal anniversary. Now let’s see which Halo games are having their anniversaries on a Tuesday or Thursday in 2021:
Tuesday, September 14th, 2021 (Reach’s 11th Anniversary)
Tuesday, November 9th, 2021 (Halo 2’s 17th Anniversary)
Thursday, November 11th, 2021 (Halo: MCC and Halo 2’s 7th Anniversary)
Of these, Halo MCC is having it’s 7th anniversary on the 11th. (117) and could easily be a likely candidate.
November 9th is a likely candidate for Halo 2’s 17th (close to 117) anniversary.
September 14th is likely specifically because it satisfies several of the arguments I make and people claiming this Tweet makes.
- It would be an anniversary release about a game that takes place on a planet we may be returning to in Halo: Infinite - It releases in the fall far enough away from a Holiday to be called a “Fall 2021 release” instead of a “Holiday 2021 release.” - It isn’t a major anniversary. So it won’t overshadow something as important as Halo: Combat Evolved’s 20th anniversary. Giving 343 and/or Bungie and Microsoft/Xbox a great chance to acknowledge their beginnings with a big party without focusing on the future of Halo: Infinite - Halo: Infinite will not be interfering with Halo: Combat Evolved in The MCC with a possible big in-game event or big XP boost or a season completely based on Combat Evolved.
I expect Combat Evolved and Halo: Infinite to have very different days. Infinite should release much earlier than Halo: Combat Evolved’s 20th anniversary simply because Halo: Combat Evolved’s anniversary is too important and big to be overshadowed by something like Halo: Infinite.